Published in the Jerusalem Post, 16 January 2024 
Iran's Supreme Leader meets the head of Hezbollah
A war with Israel is the last thing that Lebanon needs. The Lebanese people are in the midst of a severe economic downturn, facing soaring prices and severe shortages of food and basic commodities. Hezbollah-allied political, financial and business leaders, the source of the graft and corruption at the heart of the nation, have allowed Lebanon’s economy to deteriorate to crisis level. The nation is in a catastrophic economic situation which has lasted for years. If Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, were to initiate a full-scale conflict with Israel, he would find little support from the hard-pressed Lebanese.
Even the continuous armed skirmishes over the Lebanon-Israel border serve little purpose beyond administering an Israeli tit for a Hezbollah tat. They achieve nothing of any value for either side. Initiated by Hezbollah at the behest of its paymaster, Iran, their true function is to fulfil Iran’s desire to cause as much trouble in the Middle East as possible.
Hezbollah was
established in 1982 specifically to counter Israel’s invasion of Lebanon, undertaken in response to constant attacks
on Israel from Lebanese territory by Palestinian militants. But when the subsequent Israeli occupation
of southern Lebanon ended in 2000, Hezbollah’s aim was achieved. What purpose can the constant armed
interchanges have now?
One truth, long
unacknowledged in the western world but the cornerstone of Iran’s Islamic
Revolution in 1979, is that the Iranian regime is in relentless pursuit of its
own agenda, namely to dominate the Middle East as a first step toward spreading
the Shi’ite tradition of Islam eventually to the whole world. This was clearly
spelled out by the instigator of Iran’s Islamic revolution, Ayatollah Ruhollah
Khomeini, on more than one occasion: “We shall export our revolution to
the whole world. Until the cry 'There is no god but Allah' resounds over the
whole world, there will be struggle.”.jpg)
As essential stages in this process, the
revolutionary leaders envisaged the overthrow of Zionism (ie Israel) and of
capitalism (ie the US) – a fact which one-time US President Obama, and now
President Biden, have seemed peculiarly reluctant to acknowledge. Time and again attempts at mollifying the
Iranian regime have proved useless – its ultimate aim remains unaltered. It still regards America as the Great Satan,
and Israel as its smaller manifestation – both destined for obliteration.
In pursuit of their objective
Iran’s leaders recognize no bounds. They
sponsor terrorist activities and deploy their puppet organizations – among
others, Hamas in Gaza, the Houthis in Yemen, and Hezbollah in Lebanon – to
undertake them. In Lebanon Iran has nurtured, financed and equipped Hezbollah
ever since 1982 to harry Israel. UK
media reported on January 12 that Iran is paying Hezbollah fighters a wage of
$1300 per month.
Lebanon’s problem as a sovereign state has
been its inability to prevent the accretion of political, social and above all
military power by Hezbollah over the past 40 years – a process that has left
the sovereign state of Lebanon in thrall
to Hezbollah.
In 2024 Hezbollah is
virtually a state within a state, sucking the lifeblood out of Lebanon at the
instigation of Iran. It has effectively
brought Lebanon’s political process to a standstill – since October 31, 2022
the nation has been without a president. and has hobbled along with only
caretaker government ministers. Every
attempt to resolve the political difficulties has been frustrated by Hezbollah
and its political allies.
As for Hezbollah’s armed
forces, it is generally believed that they are larger and more powerful than
the Lebanese national army. The
Hezbollah military has, after all, been in receipt of sophisticated technology
from Iran for years, and has built up a formidable state-of-the-art armory
directed at Israel. The two armed forces
exist side by side within the same state, and although under the previous
president, Michel Aoun, there was often a degree of collaboration between them,
Hezbollah steers its own course, and is not answerable to Lebanon‘s political
leaders for its activities.
Hezbollah’s last full-scale clash with Israel was brought to an end in August 2006 by UN Security Council Resolution 1701. One main purpose of the resolution was to keep Hezbollah troops far from the Israel-Lebanon border, thus forestalling any future conflict. In accordance with the resolution 15,000 UN international troops, operating alongside the Lebanese army, were deployed to police the Lebanon-Israel border. There are currently just over 9,500. Known as UNIFIL (United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon), they have been in place for the past 18 years, their authority largely ignored by Hezbollah.
Another provision of Resolution
1701 that neither Iran nor Hezbollah had any intention of meeting was the UN’s
strong demand, laid down in previous resolutions, that all armed groups in
Lebanon, other than those of the Lebanese state, should be disarmed.
On the day that Resolution
1701 passed unanimously in the UN Security Council, Hezbollah secretary-general,
Hassan Nasrallah, said that Hezbollah would honor the call for a ceasefire
provided Israel agreed to end its military actions. Resolution 1701 was
approved by the Lebanese government one week after it was passed by the UN. As
it did so, Nasrallah reiterated his pledge that once the Israeli offensive ceased,
Hezbollah’s rocket attacks on Israel would also stop.
In practice, of course,
1701 has failed utterly to maintain stability along the Israel-Lebanon border. Hezbollah, marching to the beat of Iran’s
drum, has prevented UNIFIL from performing its mission. It has used its militia to control the area, has
deployed its forces there, has launched thousands of rockets into Israel, and
has constructed tunnels under the border to enable its terror units to
penetrate Israel. Its bombardment of
Israel with rockets, missiles and drones has been unceasing. UNIFIL has proved ineffective, unwilling to
confront Hezbollah head-on. It has
failed to prevent Hezbollah’s continuous activity along the border in blatant
violation of 1701.
For its part, the UN has
failed to insist that its UNIFIL forces actually enforce adherence with its
Resolution 1701. As a result Iran,
through its Hezbollah pawn, has been empowered to disrupt regional stability,
just as it has done by fortifying Hamas in Gaza and using the Houthis in Yemen
to attack shipping in the Red Sea and deploy missiles directly into Saudi
Arabia. The perpetual Hezbollah-Israel skirmishes
across the Lebanon border serve no-one’s purposes except those of the Iranian
regime. In the end it will be necessary to tackle the organ-grinder rather than
his monkey.
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